FanPost

Top 4 Permutations (5/14 Update)

A quick summary of the race to the top 4 Trophy! *** This Post will Update with Results!

Current Standings:


Played W D L GD PTS
Chelsea 37 21 9 7 35 72
Arsenal 37 20 10 7 34 70
Tottenham 37 20 9 8 19 69

UPDATE 5/14

1. Game. Left.

Arsenal

Arsenal can clinch at least 4th with a win going to 73 points. If Tottenham Draw or Lose their last game, then Arsenal are 4th regardless of our own game because of GD.

Arsenal can achieve 3rd with 73 points if Chelsea Draw their last game. Arsenal will need to win by 2 goals to pass Chelsea's GD.

*The 2nd tie breaker is Goals scored. Currently Chelsea have 73 and Arsenal 71. If Arsenal win by 1 and score more goals (say 3-2) and Chelsea draw (0-0) then we are 3rd on Goals Scored.

*The 3rd tie breaker is a playoff match at a neutral site. (No Extra Time or Penalties, so it could be multiple games)

Chelsea loss and Arsenal win = Arsenal 3rd.

Chelsea

Chelsea clinch 3rd with a win. They can also be 3rd with a draw if Arsenal only win by 1 goal.

Chelsea have clinched at least 4th, as Tottenham cannot pass them.

Tottenham

Spurs have to win to reach 4th and have Arsenal draw or lose to Newcastle.

The remaining schedules:

Arsenal: Away at Newcastle (5/19)

Chelsea: Home vs. Everton (5/19)

Tottenham: Home vs. Sunderland (5/19)

Hold on to your pants.

UPDATE 5/13

With Totts'n' ham and Chelsea both winning over the weekend, the preassure is on (as if it wasn't already) for Arsenal to get 2 positive results to secure Champions League play.

Arsenal

Arsenal can clinch at least 4th with 2 wins going to 73 points. If Tottenham Draw or Lose their last game, then Arsenal only need to win 1 game to clinch 4th on GD.

Arsenal can achieve 3rd with 73 points if Chelsea Draw their last game and the Gunners make up a -4 GD, or if Chelsea lose to Everton, Arsenal are 3rd with 2 wins.

Chelsea

Chelsea clinch 3rd with a win. They can also be 3rd with a draw if their GD stays above Arsenal.

Chelsea have clinched at least 4th, as Tottenham cannot pass them.

Tottenham

Spurs can reach 4th if Arsenal draw or lose 1 game and they win their last game. If Spurs draw their last game they would need Arsenal to not win either game.

The remaining schedules:

Arsenal: Home vs. Wigan (5/14), Away at Newcastle (5/19)

Chelsea: Home vs. Everton (5/19)

Tottenham: Home vs. Sunderland (5/19)

Arsenal face Wigan, the FA Cup Champions, on Tuesday. An Arsenal Win would relegate Wigan, as they need all 6 points to avoid the drop (Sunderland are only 4 clear, but their GD is +11 above Wigan).

Regardless of the Result on Tuesday, this will come down to the final day.

UPDATE 5/8

All 3 squads now have 2 games remaining and the Race for the Top 4 (and 3rd) is pretty clear.

Arsenal

Arsenal can clinch at least 4th with 2 wins going to 73 points. If Tottenham Draw 1 of their last 2, then Arsenal only need to win 1 game to clinch 4th on GD.

Arsenal can achieve 3rd with 73 points if Chelsea Draw 1 game and the Gunners make up a -3 GD, or if Chelsea lose 1 game, Arsenal are 3rd with 2 wins.

Chelsea

Chelsea clinch 3rd with 2 wins. They can also be 3rd with a win and a draw if their GD stays above Arsenal.

They can clinch at least 4th with 1 win, since their GD is far past Spurs

Both Spurs and Arsenal can pass Chelsea if they lose or draw both remaining games.

Tottenham

Spurs need help.

The remaining schedules:

Arsenal: Home vs. Wigan (5/14), Away at Newcastle (5/19)

Chelsea: Away at Aston Villa (5/11), Home vs. Everton (5/19)

Tottenham: Away at Stoke (5/12), Home vs. Sunderland (5/19)

Both Chelsea and Tottenham play another game before Arsenal face Wigan next Tuesday. Arsenal very well could relegate Wigan officially with a win at Home.

It's all in our hands now.

5/6

As you can see, Arsenal are currently a point behind Chelsea in third and 2 points clear of Tottenham who are fifth.

Chelsea and Tottenham play this Wednesday at Stamford Bridge. That game is all of the importants.

The short story here is we all need to pull for Chelsea.

Chelsea Win:

Tottenham's ceiling of 71 would mean that Arsenal would only need 4 points (A win and a draw) from their final 2 games to reach 71 and clinch at least 4th.

A Chelsea win means they would have 71 points and clinch at least 4th. (Since Tottenham could then only reach 71, and Chesea have the GD kicker)

A Draw:

A draw is still a good result for Arsenal as it means they control their own destiny for 4th and would get there with 2 wins at 73 points.

Tottenham would need to win their last 2 and hope that Arsenal draw at least one game to get to 4th on 72 points.

Chelsea would be in good shape with 69 points meaning one win out of their last 2 games would be enough to see them into 4th over Spurs on GD.

Tottenham win:

This is where is can get bad for Arsenal. The Gunners can still reach 73 points with 2 wins.

But, Tottenham would be able to reach 74 if they were to win their final 2 games after beating Chelsea.

Additionally, Chelsea could get to 74 by winning their last 2, leaving Chelsea 3rd and Spurs 4th.

Separately, 3rd place is still in play for Arsenal. Chelsea would need to lose 1 (but not to Spurs!) with Arsenal needing to make up the goal difference. Or If Chelsea draw (or lose) 2 games, Arsenal can go 3rd.

The remaining schedules:

Arsenal: Home vs. Wigan (5/14), Away at Newcastle (5/19)

Chelsea: Home vs. Spurs (5/8), Away at Aston Villa (5/11), Home vs. Everton (5/19)

Tottenham: Away at Chelsea (5/8), Away at Stoke (5/12), Home vs. Sunderland (5/19)

Considering both Chelsea and Tottenham play twice before Arsenal take the field again, that Wigan game may be the most nerve wrenching game of all time.

Go Arsenal

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